Market Timing Lab

See when conditions favor taking risk, review go and pause signals, then measure how each stock would have performed with your chosen style.

1 · Choose your timing style

2 · Market right now

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Market — signals & history

Broad market timing overview

Timed return

Buy & hold

Go signals

Pause signals

Recent go signals

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Recent pause signals

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Active period Enter Exit Go / pause flip

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Timing whitelist

Top 40 names by historical timed return (held only while timing was ON), from all active NEPSE symbols.

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#	Symbol	Timed return	Buy & hold	Edge vs hold	In market
	▸

No stocks beat buy-and-hold on timed entries in the current universe.

3 · Pick stocks to measure

Add at least one symbol.

Simulated return if you only held each stock when timing was favorable. Includes estimated trading frictions. Not live P&L or a guarantee of future results.

Stocks analyzed

Beat buy & hold

Avg edge vs hold

Avg timed return

Your results —

Click any symbol for chart, entries, exits & trade log

Symbol	Timed return	Buy & hold	Edge vs hold	In market	Verdict
▸					BEAT HOLD LAGGED

4 · Position size & stop loss

Timing ON Timing OFF

Enter your capital and how much you're willing to lose. Each stock gets a volatility-based stop, and your risk budget is split by reward:risk (optionally beta-adjusted) — the quantities keep your worst case at the risk budget. Simplest use: symbols only. Not sure about reward:risk? Leave it at 2 for every stock — you'll get an equal, beta-balanced risk split. Buy and stop prices are only for when you have your own levels; blank means last close and an automatic volatility stop.

Timing is currently OFF for this style — treat these numbers as a plan for the next go signal, not an invitation to buy today.

Total capital (Rs)

Risk budget

Beta adjustment Shrink risk on high-β stocks

High-β names fall together when timing flips OFF; this evens out that exposure.

SymbolReward : RiskBuy price (optional)

Historical simulation on closing prices. Past performance does not predict future returns. Timing rules are proprietary — results show outcomes only, not how signals are built.